Quantitative analysis of financial development’s impact on economic growth
ABSTRACT:
With the continuous development and evolution of economic
research, the theoretical results of financial development are fruitful. Based
on 1980-2010 annual time series data, by using co-integration and the Granger
Causality test, and adopting financial scale expansion, i.e. finance-related
ratio indicators, and the financial development efficiency indicators, i.e. deposit-to-loan
ratio indicators, this paper studies the causality direction problem between
financial development and economic growth of Anhui Province. The conclusion is
that there exists bidirectional causality between financial scale expansion and
economic growth in Anhui. In addition, the efficiency of financial development
is a key factor in economic growth, but in reverse, economic growth does not
promote the efficiency of financial development. Finally, through combining the
actual situation of Anhui Province, it proposes suggestions conducive to its
sustainable economic development.
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